Modeling Age at Menstrual Onset and Developing Menarcheal Life Table

  • Brijesh P. Singh Department of Statistics, Institute of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India
Keywords: Age at menarche, Logistic distribution, Life table, Expected waiting time

Abstract

Population scientists are generally developing mathematical models/techniques in demography and to provide brief explanation of extensive data sets. The prime objective of the present paper is to propose a probability model to illustrate the distribution of female’s age at first menstrual onset. Menarcheal age distribution is used to evaluate risk associated to reproductive issues and may be used as a demographic indicator of female fecundity. The suitability of proposed model is tested with the real data sets. Parameters of the proposed distribution have been estimated through least square estimation technique. It is observed that older female’s age at menarche is somewhat higher than the younger female’s age at menarche. Also we have constructed a life table for menarcheal age using a probability model. This life table is enable to provide expected duration of getting menarche for a girl of a particular age.

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Author Biography

Brijesh P. Singh, Department of Statistics, Institute of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India

Brijesh P. Singh is currently working as Professor in the Department of Statistics, Institute of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India. He obtained his Ph.D. degree in Statistics from Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi. He has a more than 20 years of teaching and research experience in the area of Statistical Demography. He has published 153 research articles in the various refereed journals and books of national and international repute. Also he edited 2 books containing research papers and has a reference book for data analysts. His area of research interests are statistical modeling and analysis of demographic phenomenon specially fertility, mortality, reproductive health and domestic violence with its reason and consequences.

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Published
2021-10-14
Section
Articles